Measuring Contagion with a Bayesian Time-Varying Coefficient Model /

We propose using a Bayesian time-varying coefficient model estimated with Markov chain-Monte Carlo methods to measure contagion empirically. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It dis...

Disgrifiad llawn

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: Rebucci, Alessandro
Awduron Eraill: Ciccarelli, Matteo
Fformat: Cylchgrawn
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2003.
Cyfres:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2003/171
Mynediad Ar-lein:Full text available on IMF
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020 |z 9781451858525 
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100 1 |a Rebucci, Alessandro. 
245 1 0 |a Measuring Contagion with a Bayesian Time-Varying Coefficient Model /  |c Alessandro Rebucci, Matteo Ciccarelli. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2003. 
300 |a 1 online resource (32 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We propose using a Bayesian time-varying coefficient model estimated with Markov chain-Monte Carlo methods to measure contagion empirically. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It distinguishes contagion not only from interdependence but also from structural breaks and can be used to investigate positive as well as negative contagion. The proposed measure appears to work well using both simulated and actual data. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Ciccarelli, Matteo. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2003/171 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2003/171/001.2003.issue-171-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library