Early Warning Systems : A Survey and a Regime-Switching Approach /

Previous early-warning systems (EWSs) for currency crises have relied on models that require a priori dating of crises. This paper proposes an alternative EWS, based on a Markov-switching model, which identifies and characterizes crisis periods endogenously; this also allows the model to utilize inf...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Abiad, Abdul
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2003.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2003/032
Online Access:Full text available on IMF