Reviving the Case for GDP-Indexed Bonds /

This paper seeks to revive the case for countries to self-insure against economic growth slowdowns by issuing GDP-indexed bonds. We simulate the effects of GDP-indexed bonds under different assumptions about fiscal policy reaction functions and their output effects and find that they could substanti...

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Hlavní autor: Borensztein, Eduardo
Další autoři: Mauro, Paolo
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
Edice:IMF Policy Discussion Papers; Policy Discussion Paper ; No. 2002/010
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
Popis
Shrnutí:This paper seeks to revive the case for countries to self-insure against economic growth slowdowns by issuing GDP-indexed bonds. We simulate the effects of GDP-indexed bonds under different assumptions about fiscal policy reaction functions and their output effects and find that they could substantially reduce the likelihood that debt/GDP paths become explosive. The insurance premium would likely be small, because cross-country comovement of GDP growth rates is low and cross-country GDP growth risk is thus largely diversifiable for an investor holding a portfolio of GDP-indexed bonds. Potential obstacles to the emergence of a market for these bonds include the verifiability of GDP data, the trade-off between insurance and moral hazard, and the need for liquidity. The paper discusses institutional fixes and suggests an approach to attempting to start up a market.
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Fyzický popis:1 online resource (25 pages)
Médium:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1934-7456
Přístup:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students