International Contagion Effects from the Russian Crisis and the LTCM Near-Collapse /

We examine empirically the episode of extraordinary turbulence in global financial markets during 1998. The analysis focuses on the market assessment of credit risk captured by daily movements in bond spreads for twelve countries. A dynamic latent factor model is estimated using indirect inference t...

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Bibliografiska uppgifter
Huvudupphovsman: Fry, Renee
Övriga upphovsmän: Dungey, Mardi, Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda, Martin, Vance
Materialtyp: Tidskrift
Språk:English
Publicerad: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2002/074
Länkar:Full text available on IMF
Beskrivning
Sammanfattning:We examine empirically the episode of extraordinary turbulence in global financial markets during 1998. The analysis focuses on the market assessment of credit risk captured by daily movements in bond spreads for twelve countries. A dynamic latent factor model is estimated using indirect inference to quantify the effects of unanticipated shocks across borders or "contagion," controlling for common global shocks, country-specific shocks and regional factors. The results show that there were substantial international contagion effects resulting from both the Russian and LTCM crises. The proportion of volatility explained by contagion is not necessarily larger in developing than in developed nations.
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Fysisk beskrivning:1 online resource (48 pages)
Materialtyp:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Tillgång:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students