Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings and the Current Account /

The relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment remains a key issue in open economy macroeconomics. This paper extends the standard intertemporal optimizing model of the current account to incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on priv...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Ostry, Jonathan
Otros Autores: Ghosh, Atish
Formato: Revista
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1992.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1992/072
Acceso en línea:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings and the Current Account /  |c Jonathan Ostry, Atish Ghosh. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 1992. 
300 |a 1 online resource (44 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a The relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment remains a key issue in open economy macroeconomics. This paper extends the standard intertemporal optimizing model of the current account to incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on private savings behavior. It is shown that the greater the uncertainty in national cash flow, defined as output less investment less government expenditure, the greater is the precautionary demand for savings and, other things equal, the larger is the current account surplus. Empirical support for the model is found using quarterly data from four large industrial countries. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Ghosh, Atish. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 1992/072 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1992/072/001.1992.issue-072-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library