Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes /
This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on whethe...
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| 其他作者: | , |
| 格式: | 雜誌 |
| 語言: | English |
| 出版: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2002.
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| 叢編: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2002/007 |
| 在線閱讀: | Full text available on IMF |