Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes /

This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on whethe...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yazar: Perraudin, W.
Diğer Yazarlar: Kumar, Manmohan, Moorthy, Uma
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
Seri Bilgileri:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2002/007
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF