Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes /

This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading strategies in which an investor goes long or short in the currency depending on whethe...

ver descrição completa

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Perraudin, W.
Outros Autores: Kumar, Manmohan, Moorthy, Uma
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
coleção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2002/007
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF