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|c 5.00 USD
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|z 9781451850444
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|a 1018-5941
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|a Sekine, Toshitaka.
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|a Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in Japan /
|c Toshitaka Sekine.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2001.
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| 300 |
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|a 1 online resource (35 pages)
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|a IMF Working Papers
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|a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students
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|a This paper estimates an inflation function and forecasts one-year ahead inflation for Japan. It finds that (i) markup relationships, excess money and the output gap are particularly relevant long-run determinants for an equilibrium correction model (EqCM) of inflation; (ii) with intercept corrections, one-year ahead inflation forecast performance of the EqCM is good; and (iii) forecast accuracy can be improved by combining forecasts of the EqCM with those made by rival models. The EqCM obtained would serve for structural model-based inflation forecasting. It also highlights the importance of adjustment to a pure model-based forecast by utilizing information of alternative models. The methodology employed is applicable to a wider range of countries including some emerging market economies.
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|a Mode of access: Internet
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|a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
|v No. 2001/082
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| 856 |
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|z Full text available on IMF
|u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2001/082/001.2001.issue-082-en.xml
|z IMF e-Library
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