Do Asset Prices in Transition Countries Contain Information About Future Economic Activity? /

There is ample empirical evidence for developed economies that asset prices contain information about future economic developments. But is this also the case in transition economies? Using a panel of monthly data for the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Slovakia, and Slovenia for the period...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yazar: Sloek, Torsten
Diğer Yazarlar: Christoffersen, Peter
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2000.
Seri Bilgileri:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2000/103
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Do Asset Prices in Transition Countries Contain Information About Future Economic Activity? /  |c Torsten Sloek, Peter Christoffersen. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (25 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a There is ample empirical evidence for developed economies that asset prices contain information about future economic developments. But is this also the case in transition economies? Using a panel of monthly data for the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Slovakia, and Slovenia for the period 1994-1999 it is shown that historical values for interest rates, exchange rates, and stock prices signal future movements in real economic activity. This result has significant implications for policymakers, and a composite leading indicator based on the three asset prices is presented, which contains information about the future development of economic activity. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Christoffersen, Peter. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2000/103 
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