Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle with a Vector-Markov-Switching Model /
This paper identifies turning points for the U.S. business cycle using different time series. The model, a multivariate Markov-Swiching model, assumes that each series is characterized by a mixture of two normal distributions (a high and low mean) with switching determined by a common Markov process...
Autor principal: | |
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Formato: | Periódico |
Idioma: | English |
Publicado em: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
1999.
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coleção: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 1999/107 |
Acesso em linha: | Full text available on IMF |