Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle with a Vector-Markov-Switching Model /

This paper identifies turning points for the U.S. business cycle using different time series. The model, a multivariate Markov-Swiching model, assumes that each series is characterized by a mixture of two normal distributions (a high and low mean) with switching determined by a common Markov process...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Kontolemis, Zenon
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/107
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF