Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle with a Vector-Markov-Switching Model /

This paper identifies turning points for the U.S. business cycle using different time series. The model, a multivariate Markov-Swiching model, assumes that each series is characterized by a mixture of two normal distributions (a high and low mean) with switching determined by a common Markov process...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Kontolemis, Zenon
Format: Zeitschrift
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/107
Online Zugang:Full text available on IMF