External Vulnerability in Emerging Market Economies : How High Liquidity Can Offset Weak Fundamentals and the Effects of Contagion /
This paper investigates the factors behind the 1994 and 1997 crises and whether these can explain the 1998 crisis. The study reveals that: (i) variables used in an Early Warning System model developed by IMF staff scored well in predicting the 1998 crisis out-of-sample; (ii) all three crisis episode...
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| 格式: | 杂志 |
| 语言: | English |
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Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
1999.
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| 丛编: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 1999/088 |
| 在线阅读: | Full text available on IMF |