External Vulnerability in Emerging Market Economies : How High Liquidity Can Offset Weak Fundamentals and the Effects of Contagion /

This paper investigates the factors behind the 1994 and 1997 crises and whether these can explain the 1998 crisis. The study reveals that: (i) variables used in an Early Warning System model developed by IMF staff scored well in predicting the 1998 crisis out-of-sample; (ii) all three crisis episode...

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Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Mulder, Christian
Beste egile batzuk: Bussiere, Matthieu
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Saila:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/088
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF