Political Instability and Economic Vulnerability /

This paper analyzes and tests the influence of political instability on economic vulnerability in the context of the 1994 and 1997 crises episodes. It constructs four political variables that aim at quantifying political instability. The paper finds that for countries with weak economic fundamentals...

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Hlavní autor: Mulder, Christian
Další autoři: Bussiere, Matthieu
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/046
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Political Instability and Economic Vulnerability /  |c Christian Mulder, Matthieu Bussiere. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 1999. 
300 |a 1 online resource (36 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper analyzes and tests the influence of political instability on economic vulnerability in the context of the 1994 and 1997 crises episodes. It constructs four political variables that aim at quantifying political instability. The paper finds that for countries with weak economic fundamentals and low reserves, political instability has a strong impact on economic vulnerability. The estimation results suggest that including political variables in economic models does improve their power to explain and predict economic crises. The paper concludes that countries are more economically vulnerable during and especially following election periods, and when election results are less stable than at other times. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Bussiere, Matthieu. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 1999/046 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1999/046/001.1999.issue-046-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library