A Model of Contagious Currency Crises with Application to Argentina /
This paper proposes a model of contagious currency crises: crises transmit across countries by raising the risk premium on government bonds. Three types of equilibria can occur: a 'no-collapse' equilibrium (crises never transmit from abroad); a 'collapse' equilibrium (crises are...
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| Format: | Journal |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
1999.
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| Series: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 1999/029 |
| Online Access: | Full text available on IMF |
| Summary: | This paper proposes a model of contagious currency crises: crises transmit across countries by raising the risk premium on government bonds. Three types of equilibria can occur: a 'no-collapse' equilibrium (crises never transmit from abroad); a 'collapse' equilibrium (crises are inevitably contagious); or a 'fundamentals' equilibrium (crises are contagious if domestic fundamentals are weak). A calibration exercise finds that the 1995 turmoil in Argentina coexisted with a combination of risk-averse investors and weak credibility in the currency board arrangement. This turmoil could only be attributed to a Tequila effect from the Mexican crisis alone if investors were excessively risk-averse. |
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| Item Description: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (26 pages) |
| Format: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Access: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |