Interest Rate Arbitrage in Currency Baskets : Forecasting Weights and Measuring Risk /

When constructing hedged interest rate arbitrage portfolios for basket currencies, two issues arise: first, how are the unknown future basket weights optimally forecasted from past exchange rate data? And, second, how is risk-in terms of the conditional variance of expected profits from the interest...

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Autor principal: Christoffersen, Peter
Altres autors: Giorgianni, Lorenzo
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/016
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
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Sumari:When constructing hedged interest rate arbitrage portfolios for basket currencies, two issues arise: first, how are the unknown future basket weights optimally forecasted from past exchange rate data? And, second, how is risk-in terms of the conditional variance of expected profits from the interest rate arbitrage portfolio-appropriately measured when the basket weights are time-varying? Answers to these questions are provided within a time-varying parameter modeling framework estimated through the Kalman filter. An empirical application is devoted to the experience of the Thai baht currency basket (January 1992-February 1997).
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Descripció física:1 online resource (30 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accés:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students