Output Decline and Recovery in Uzbekistan : Past Performance and Future Prospects /

What explains Uzbekistan's unusually mild 'transformational recession' and its moderate recovery during 1996-97? We examine potential biases in output measurement, the role of 'special factors'-including initial production structure, natural resources, and public investment...

Descrizione completa

Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Zettelmeyer, Jeromin
Altri autori: Taube, Gunther
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1998.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1998/132
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF
Descrizione
Riassunto:What explains Uzbekistan's unusually mild 'transformational recession' and its moderate recovery during 1996-97? We examine potential biases in output measurement, the role of 'special factors'-including initial production structure, natural resources, and public investment policies-and sectoral output developments. The main findings are (i) Uzbekistan's relatively favorable output record is not an artifact of measurement alone; (ii) public investment has had no significant effects on growth; (iii) the mildness of Uzbekistan's transitional recession can be accounted for by its favorable initial production structure and its self-sufficiency in energy; (iv) unless reforms are significantly accelerated, medium-term growth prospects are mediocre.
Descrizione del documento:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Descrizione fisica:1 online resource (30 pages)
Natura:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students