Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises : Empirical Regularities /

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic factors,...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Milesi-Ferretti, Gian
Outros Autores: Razin, Assaf
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1998.
Colecção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1998/089
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF
Descrição
Resumo:This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic factors, such as the low reserves, and external factors, such as unfavorable terms of trade, are found to trigger reversals and currency crises. The two types of events are, however, distinct; an exchange rate crash is associated with a fall in output growth and a recovery thereafter, while for reversals there is no systematic evidence of a growth slowdown.
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Descrição Física:1 online resource (44 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Acesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students