Central Bank Vulnerability and the Credibility of Commitments : A Value-at-Risk Approach to Currency Crises /

A loss of solvency increases central bank vulnerability, reducing the credibility of commitments to defend a nominal regime, including an exchange rate peg. This paper develops a methodology to assess central bank solvency and exposure to risk. The measure, based on Value-at-Risk, is frequently used...

Szczegółowa specyfikacja

Opis bibliograficzny
1. autor: Schumacher, Liliana
Kolejni autorzy: Blejer, Mario
Format: Czasopismo
Język:English
Wydane: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1998.
Seria:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1998/065
Dostęp online:Full text available on IMF
Opis
Streszczenie:A loss of solvency increases central bank vulnerability, reducing the credibility of commitments to defend a nominal regime, including an exchange rate peg. This paper develops a methodology to assess central bank solvency and exposure to risk. The measure, based on Value-at-Risk, is frequently used to evaluate commercial risk. The paper emphasizes that the ability to sustain nominal commitments cannot be gauged by focusing only on selected accounts (such as reserves), but requires a comprehensive solvency and vulnerability analysis of the monetary authorities' complete portfolio (including off-balance-sheet operations). The suggested measure has powerful reporting value and its disclosure could improve monitoring of sovereign solvency risk.
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Opis fizyczny:1 online resource (29 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Ograniczenie dostępu:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students