Brady Bonds and Default Probabilities /

This paper computes the default probabilities implicit in the prices of Brady bonds of seven developing countries and examines the factors that determine the high cross-correlation of the probability paths. The term structure of U.S. interest rates and the ratio of long-term foreign debt to GDP, tog...

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Hlavní autor: Izvorski, Ivailo
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1998.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1998/016
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Brady Bonds and Default Probabilities /  |c Ivailo Izvorski. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 1998. 
300 |a 1 online resource (24 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper computes the default probabilities implicit in the prices of Brady bonds of seven developing countries and examines the factors that determine the high cross-correlation of the probability paths. The term structure of U.S. interest rates and the ratio of long-term foreign debt to GDP, together with a developing market index, explain more than 75 percent of the cross-sectional distribution of the default probabilities. The paper also demonstrates a new way to extract sovereign riskiness, implicit in traded bond prices. This allows the above results to be interpreted as explaining the cross-sectional distribution of sovereign riskiness as well. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 1998/016 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1998/016/001.1998.issue-016-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library