Disinflation and the Recession-Now-Versus-Recession-Later Hypothesis : Evidence From Uruguay /

Both analytical models and casual empiricism suggest that the timing of the recessionary costs associated with inflation stabilization in chronic inflation countries may depend on the nominal anchor which is used. Under money-based stabilization, the recession occurs at the beginning of the program,...

Disgrifiad llawn

Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: Vegh Gramont, Carlos
Awduron Eraill: Hoffmaister, Willy
Fformat: Cylchgrawn
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1995.
Cyfres:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1995/099
Mynediad Ar-lein:Full text available on IMF
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020 |z 9781451852219 
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100 1 |a Vegh Gramont, Carlos. 
245 1 0 |a Disinflation and the Recession-Now-Versus-Recession-Later Hypothesis :   |b Evidence From Uruguay /  |c Carlos Vegh Gramont, Willy Hoffmaister. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 1995. 
300 |a 1 online resource (46 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a Both analytical models and casual empiricism suggest that the timing of the recessionary costs associated with inflation stabilization in chronic inflation countries may depend on the nominal anchor which is used. Under money-based stabilization, the recession occurs at the beginning of the program, while under exchange rate-based stabilization the recession occurs later in the program. This paper provides a first attempt to formally test this hypothesis using a vector-autoregression model for Uruguay. The impulse response of output to different stabilization policies is broadly consistent with the 'recession-now-versus-recession-later' hypothesis. The evidence also suggests, however, that the effectiveness of a monetary anchor in reducing inflation is hindered by the high degree of dollarization of the Uruguayan economy. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Hoffmaister, Willy. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 1995/099 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1995/099/001.1995.issue-099-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library