Are Business Cycles Different in Asia and Latin America? /

This paper compares business cycles in Asia and in Latin America using structural vector autoregression analysis with panel data. The evidence for countries in these regions suggests that (i) the main source of output fluctuations is supply shocks, even in the short run; (ii) the real exchange rate...

Полное описание

Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Hoffmaister, Willy
Другие авторы: Roldos, Jorge
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1997.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1997/009
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
Описание
Итог:This paper compares business cycles in Asia and in Latin America using structural vector autoregression analysis with panel data. The evidence for countries in these regions suggests that (i) the main source of output fluctuations is supply shocks, even in the short run; (ii) the real exchange rate is driven mostly by fiscal shocks; and (iii) terms of trade shocks are important for trade balance fluctuations but not for output or real exchange rate fluctuations. However, in Latin America, as opposed to Asia, output is affected more by external and domestic demand shocks.
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Объем:1 online resource (49 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Доступ:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students