Are Business Cycles Different in Asia and Latin America? /

This paper compares business cycles in Asia and in Latin America using structural vector autoregression analysis with panel data. The evidence for countries in these regions suggests that (i) the main source of output fluctuations is supply shocks, even in the short run; (ii) the real exchange rate...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Hoffmaister, Willy
Other Authors: Roldos, Jorge
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1997.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1997/009
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This paper compares business cycles in Asia and in Latin America using structural vector autoregression analysis with panel data. The evidence for countries in these regions suggests that (i) the main source of output fluctuations is supply shocks, even in the short run; (ii) the real exchange rate is driven mostly by fiscal shocks; and (iii) terms of trade shocks are important for trade balance fluctuations but not for output or real exchange rate fluctuations. However, in Latin America, as opposed to Asia, output is affected more by external and domestic demand shocks.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (49 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students