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20230723164425.0 |
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191021t2010 nyua b 001 0 eng d |
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|a 9780679604181 (electronic bk.)
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|a 0679604189 (electronic bk.)
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|a 9780812973815 (pbk.)
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|z 081297381X (pbk.)
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|a (OCoLC)669825808
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|a (POOF1)32816
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|a 8869811
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4 |
|a 003.54
|2 22
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| 100 |
1 |
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|a Taleb, Nassim Nicholas,
|d 1960-
|9 36298
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| 245 |
1 |
4 |
|a The black swan :
|b the impact of the highly improbable /
|c Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
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| 250 |
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|a Second edition, Random trade pbk. edition
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| 260 |
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|a New York :
|b Random House Trade Paperbacks,
|c c2010.
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| 300 |
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|a xxxiii, 444 pages :
|b illustrations ;
|c 20 cm.
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| 500 |
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|a "Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form in the United States ... by Random House in 2007."-T.p. verso.
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| 504 |
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|a Includes bibliographical references (pages [401]-429) and index.
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| 505 |
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|a Prologue -- Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans -- Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible.
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| 506 |
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|a Access is restricted to licensed institutions.
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| 520 |
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|a Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
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| 526 |
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|a BBS
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| 541 |
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|a HYE Trade International
Donated by Akbar Ali Khan
|e 36411, 41348
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| 650 |
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|a Uncertainty (Information theory)
|x Social aspects.
|9 36299
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| 650 |
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|a Corporate Finance.
|9 36300
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| 650 |
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0 |
|a Forecasting.
|9 36301
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| 852 |
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|a Ayesha Abed Library
|c General Stacks
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