Risk assessment and decision analysis with bayesian networks / (Record no. 40455)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 01397nam a2200361 i 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 34328
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field BD-DhAAL
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20211110164952.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 190321t2019 flua b 001 0 eng
010 ## - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CONTROL NUMBER
LC control number 2018009541
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9781138035119 (hardback : alk. paper)
International Standard Book Number 1138035114 (hardback : alk. paper)
Cancelled/invalid ISBN 9781315269405 (e-book)
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency DLC
Language of cataloging eng
Transcribing agency DLC
Description conventions rda
Modifying agency DLC
-- BD-DhAAL
042 ## - AUTHENTICATION CODE
Authentication code pcc
050 00 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER
Classification number QA279.5
Item number .F46 2019
082 00 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 519.542
Edition number 23
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Fenton, Norman E.,
Dates associated with a name 1956-
Relator term author.
9 (RLIN) 30348
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Risk assessment and decision analysis with bayesian networks /
Statement of responsibility, etc Norman Fenton and Martin Neil.
250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT
Edition statement Second edition.
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Boca Raton, FL :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group,
Date of publication, distribution, etc c2019
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent xxi, 637 pages :
Other physical details illustrations ;
Dimensions 26 cm.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note "A Chapman & Hall book."
504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE
Bibliography, etc Includes bibliographical references and index.
505 ## - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note Cover; Half Title; Title Page; Copyright Page; Dedication; Contents; Foreword; Preface; Acknowledgments; Authors; Chapter 1: Introduction; Chapter 2: Debunking Bad Statistics; 2.1 Predicting Economic Growth: The Normal Distribution and Its Limitations; 2.2 Patterns and Randomness: From School League Tables to Siegfried and Roy; 2.3 Dubious Relationships: Why You Should Be Very Wary of Correlations and Their Significance Values; 2.4 Spurious Correlations: How You Can Always Find a Silly "Cause" of Exam Success; 2.5 The Danger of Regression: Looking Back When You Need to Look Forward 2.6 The Danger of Averages2.6.1 What Type of Average?; 2.6.2 When Averages Alone Will Never Be Sufficient for Decision Making; 2.7 When Simpson's Paradox Becomes More Worrisome; 2.8 How We Measure Risk Can Dramatically Change Our Perception of Risk; 2.9 Why Relying on Data Alone Is Insufficient for Risk Assessment; 2.10 Uncertain Information and Incomplete Information: Do Not Assume They Are Different; 2.11 Do Not Trust Anybody (Even Experts) to Properly Reason about Probabilities; 2.12 Chapter Summary; Further Reading; Chapter 3: The Need for Causal, Explanatory Models in Risk Assessment 3.1 Introduction3.2 Are You More Likely to Die in an Automobile Crash When the Weather Is Good Compared to Bad?; 3.3 When Ideology and Causation Collide; 3.4 The Limitations of Common Approaches to Risk Assessment; 3.4.1 Measuring Armageddon and Other Risks; 3.4.2 Risks and Opportunities; 3.4.3 Risk Registers and Heat Maps; 3.5 Thinking about Risk Using Causal Analysis; 3.6 Applying the Causal Framework to Armageddon; 3.7 Decisions and Utilities; 3.8 Summary; Further Reading; Chapter 4: Measuring Uncertainty: The Inevitability of Subjectivity; 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Experiments, Outcomes, and Events4.2.1 Multiple Experiments; 4.2.2 Joint Experiments; 4.2.3 Joint Events and Marginalization; 4.3 Frequentist versus Subjective View of Uncertainty; 4.4 Summary; Further Reading; Chapter 5: The Basics of Probability; 5.1 Introduction; 5.2 Some Observations Leading to Axioms and Theorems of Probability; 5.3 Probability Distributions; 5.3.1 Probability Distributions with Infinite Outcomes; 5.3.2 Joint Probability Distributions and Probability of Marginalized Events; 5.3.3 Dealing with More than Two Variables; 5.4 Independent Events and Conditional Probability 5.5 Binomial Distribution5.6 Using Simple Probability Theory to Solve Earlier Problems and Explain Widespread Misunderstandings; 5.6.1 The Birthday Problem; 5.6.2 The Monty Hall Problem; 5.6.3 When Incredible Events Are Really Mundane; 5.6.4 When Mundane Events Really Are Quite Incredible; 5.7 Summary; Further Reading; Chapter 6: Bayes' Theorem and Conditional Probability; 6.1 Introduction; 6.2 All Probabilities Are Conditional; 6.3 Bayes' Theorem; 6.4 Using Bayes' Theorem to Debunk Some Probability Fallacies; 6.4.1 Traditional Statistical Hypothesis Testing
526 ## - STUDY PROGRAM INFORMATION NOTE
Program name CSE
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Bayesian statistical decision theory.
9 (RLIN) 30349
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Decision making.
9 (RLIN) 30350
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Risk management.
9 (RLIN) 30351
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Computer science.
9 (RLIN) 42496
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Neil, Martin
Fuller form of name (Martin D.),
Relator term author.
9 (RLIN) 30352
852 ## - LOCATION/CALL NUMBER
Location Ayesha Abed Library
Shelving location General Stacks
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Item type Book
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Source of acquisition Cost, normal purchase price Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Cost, replacement price Price effective from Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification     Ayesha Abed Library Ayesha Abed Library General Stacks 26/02/2019 Parama 3549.29   519.542 FEN 3010034328 26/02/2019 1 3549.29 26/02/2019 Book