Aging : Some Pleasant Fiscal Arithmetic /

Projections of age-related public expenditure growth have raised widespread concerns about fiscal sustainability. This paper examines how total expenditure would develop under four policy rules on public expenditure growth. Some simple arithmetic of expenditure, GDP, and population is reviewed and a...

Täydet tiedot

Bibliografiset tiedot
Päätekijä: Hauner, David
Aineistotyyppi: Aikakauslehti
Kieli:English
Julkaistu: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
Sarja:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/071
Linkit:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Aging :   |b Some Pleasant Fiscal Arithmetic /  |c David Hauner. 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a Projections of age-related public expenditure growth have raised widespread concerns about fiscal sustainability. This paper examines how total expenditure would develop under four policy rules on public expenditure growth. Some simple arithmetic of expenditure, GDP, and population is reviewed and applied in simulations for 19 member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) over 2000-50. A general and a specific conclusion arise from the results in this paper: Generally, long-term expenditure projections could benefit from revisiting common assumptions on non-agerelated expenditure growth. Specifically, under realistic assumptions, the belt-tightening required to maintain fiscal sustainability under age-related spending pressures could be less painful than commonly thought. 
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830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2005/071 
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